Nase Novine, April 20, 1983

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Unemployment is noyv widespread in the
United States and declining real incomes
have driven living standards to new low
levels. The US economy is undergoing
profound structural changes and is, at
present, clearly out of joint.
With double-dig- it unemployment, major
west Europen economies are also experien-cing
severe economic contractions. In West
Germany 2,500,000 people are without job
on the eve of the March 6 federal elections.
Thjs represents 10.5 percent the total labor
force. Reversing earlier expectations of
modest growth, the ensuing abatement of
commercial activity in domestic and off-shore
markets will result in a 1 per cent
decline in the gross national product.
West-German- y has traditionally maintai-ned
a favourable international balance of
payments with its trading partners. Export
earnings are now declining, reducing the
countrys foreign exchange reserves. AS
their own export revenues decline due to the
world oil glut, the Organization of Petroleum
Exporting Countries (OPEC) have reduced
their imports of West-Germa- n and US
consumer and capital goods.
In the United States over 1 2 million people
are now out of work. This represents more
than 1 1 per cent of the labour force and does
not include hundreds of thousands of men
and women who, in despair, have given up
hope of ever finding a job_._ . _
In December, 1982, the US economy was
operating at 67.3 per cent of its total
capacity. This is the lowest capacity
utilization rate in the past thirty years. In
some individual sectors of the economy the
utilization of existing capacity is much
lower, especially in the steel producing
industry.
Idle industrial capacity accounts for the
drastic decline in incomes and living
standards of American workers. US real
gross national product (value of goods and
services produced) declined 2.5 per cent
during the last quarter of 1982. It dropped
1 .8 per cent during the whole year. Issued by
the Department of Commerce, these statis-tics
represent the worst performance of the
American economy in 36 years.
Concerned about the depth and duration
of the crisis, some of the more optimistic
analysts claim that the economy has
bottomed out and that it will soon return to
higher levels of operation. Others declare
that the reversal of the decline has not yet
occured. Diverging opinions confirm the
deepening enxiety and confusion concer-ning
future trends and the economy's
performance in 1983.
Conventional signposts appear, at times,
to points to a slow recovery, albeit with high
levels of unemployment. Leading economic
indicators, at times, appear positive. Despi-te
the signposts, the leading indicators and
the predictions of economists the US
economy is in a severe slump — in a crisis
of major proportions. There is no evidence
that the decline is over, that the crisis will
not deepen, resulting in additional layoffs of
American workers. __, - -
Despite the cranking in open market
operations by the Federal Reserve, the US
economic engine refuses to kick over.
Annual money-growt- h goals have been
exceeded; interest rates have dropped from
their historically high levels — and still
there is no ignition to recovery. Something
within the complex social and economic
engine is indeed out of joint, requiring
tuning and adjustment, perhaps a major
overhaul.
Is the depth and duration of the crisis
beyond the range of conventional economic
indicators, rendering them incapable of
gaging new and rapidly changing conditi-ons'?
Is the US economy on the threshold of
zero growth, perhaps negative "growth"9
The validity of these questions is especial-ly
confirmed by the deplorable conditions
in the US steel industry With its special
domestic problems and complexities rooted
in international trade, this industry is
severely depressed This sector of the
By WANDA KOJICH
economy is operating at 29.8 per cent of
total capacity and 60 per cent of its labour
force is unemployed. rf
Cash-flo- w problems which threatened to
wipe out Canada's Dome Petroleum in 1982
are pushing at least one major US steel
producer to the brink of disaster. Among the
weakest, least viable producers are the
Republic Steel Corporation and the National
Steel Corporation. The possibility of additi-onal
shutdowns and the resulting loss of
jobs appears to be among suppliers of
flat-rolle- d steel for the automobile and home
appliance industries.
The depressed conditions in the steel
industry are culminating in the growing
demand for steel import restrictions. Even-tually
a steel import quota agreement will be
reached with Japan but steel imports will
continue to flow from off-sho- re sources of
supply: South Korea, Spain, Roumania and
Brazil. The agreement will not solve the
problems of America's steel industry nor
will it recall to work large numbers of
unemployed workers.
The present economic crisis is a crisis of
everproduction. Immense inventories of
goods have accumulated while millions of
Americans, lacking adequate purchasing
power, are deprived of basic needs —
adequate housing, food and clothing.
Existing inventories could be depleted and a
sustainable recovery could be achieved by
increasing the purchasing power of industri-al
workers and farm labourers and the
millions of America's senior citizens. Not by
gifting employers with concessions in the
form of wage-cut- s but by wage increases; by
reallocating state and federal funds to
provide adequate pensions, improved social
services and better hea.h care; by launching
gigantic public works and urban renewal
programs to alleviate the agony of America's
unemployed and te breathe new life and
hope into her cities.
Concerned about the possibility of a
world-wid- e financial collapse that could be
triggered by loan defaults and by an
avalanche of bankruptcies at home, the
Federal Reserve loosened its highly restric-tive
monetary policy to bring interest rates
down from their recent high levels. The most
monitored monetary aggregate, M1 (curren-cy
and checking accounts), has grown by 16
percent since August, 1982, well in excess
of the upper money-growt- h limit of 5 per
cent. The discount rate (the rate the Federal
Reserve charges its bank borrowers) was
reduced seven times in the last six months,
from 12 per cent to 8.5 per cent. Despite
these desperate measures consumer loan
demand is weak and capital spending is still
in a steep slide. By historical standards the
real interest rates, adjusted for inflation, are
still too high, constituting one of the major
impediments to a sustainable economic
recovery.
The way to fight inflation is not by
increasing unemployment and reducing
capacity utilization, thereby shifting the
crushing burden of the economic crisis on
America's working people. Inflation could
be controled by imposing controls where
controls are necessary — not on wages but
on commodity prices, especially in industri-al
markets in which large oligopolistic firms
initiate price increases as soon as the
economy is at or near capacity operation.
WASHINGTON, Tanjug — Americko mi-nistars- tvo
obrane nagovijestilo je da ce u
skoroj buducnosti obezbijediti nova pokret-n- a
komandna mjesta iz kojih ce vojni stabovi
moci efikasno da djeluju i za slucaj da se
eventualm nuklearni rat nastavi "duze od
po6etne faze"
Prema dosadasnjim planovima Pentago-na- ,
predsjednik SAD i vrhovna komanda
amencke vojske presli bi u sluCaju eventual-no- g
nuklearnog napada u specijalne avione
bi kruzili na veliktm vismama iznad
tentonja i iz njih izdavali naredenja za
1V 'j.
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February 23,1983,, NASE NOVINE --3
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RgpU5E Tut
Cruise
--4 ~v.
Ona ima samo cetiri godine, ali je sudjelova-l- a
u antiratnoj demonstraciji u Torontu i
nosila tablu s napisom da se odbije
isprobavanje krstaredih raketa. Njezino ime
je Christy Arnold.
NEMA OPORAVKA AMERlCKE
AUTOMOBILSKE INDUSTRIJE
DETROIT — Proizvodnja automo-bile
u Sjed. Drzavama pro§le godine
bilaje za 19 posto manja nego 1981.
godine i najniza za posljednje 24
godine. Proizvedeno je oko pet
milijuna vozila.
ProSIa godina je bila treda zare-do- m
u kojoj je izostao ocekivani
oporavak automobilske industrije u
SAD. Umjesto oporavka, zabiljezen
je dalji pad prodaja zbog visokih
kamatnih stopa i recesije u ameri6-ko- j
privredi.
AMERIKANCI SE PRIPREMAJU ZA
NUKLEARNIRAT
koji
SAD
voine akciie. Ti avioni bi se snabdijevali
gorivom u zraku.
U novom planu, атепбкј vojni stratezi po
prvi put dozvoljavaju mogucnost da nuklear-ni
rat traje duze i zbog toga predvidaju da se
Sef amencke drzave i vojna komanda koriste
novim pokretnim komandmm mjestima
odakle bi, usprkos eventualnim nuklearmm
napadima mogh i dalje normalno da djeluju
O prirodi ovih komandmh mjesta za slucaj
"duzeg nuklearnog rata" Pentagon nije dao
blize podatke
REVANSlZAM
BONN — Prema izjavi bonskog
ministra unutraSnJih poslova Fried-rich- a
Zimmermanna i obrane W6rno-r- a
"Bon odbacuje prijedlog o slgur-nosn- oj
zoni u Evropi", a "njemacko
pitanje nece vise ogranidavati na SR
Njemacku i Njemadku DR, nego ce u
njega ukljuciti i njemacka podru6ja
istocno od Odre i Nise", koja su
nakon poraza Hitlera pripala Polj-sko- j.
Zanimljivo je da je Zimmermann to
izjavio upravo o 50-godisn- jici dolas-k- a
Hitlera na vlast.
Kako javlja Tanjug iz Berlina, list
"Neues deutshland" nazvao je istu-pan- je
Zimmermanna "cistim revan-sizmom- ",
energicno odbacujuci
tvrdnju o "jedinstvu svih Nijemaca u
okviru granica njemackog Reicha iz
1937. godine".
TERORIZAM U
SJED. DR2AVAMA
WASHINGTON (AP) — Prema podacima
americkog Federalnog istraznog biroa FBI
— u Sjed. Drzavama je proSle godine u
odnosu na 1981. znatno porastao broj
ubojstava i ranjavanja koja spadaju u
kategoriju teroristickih, a ne kriminalnih
delikata. Tako je prosle godine u teroristifi-ki- m
akcijama ubijemo sedam, a ranjeno 26
ljudi, dok je 1981. godine ubijena samo
jedna osoba, a ranjene 4 osobe. '
Od ukupno 51 registriranog teronstickog
incidenta, пајбебсе su bile eksplozije bombi
ili pokusaja bombaSkih napada. Tofinije, u
Sjed. Drzavama je proSle godine eksplodira-l- o
ukupno 28 podmetnutih bombi, a devet
eksplozija je sprijeieno.
JOS 4.000 RATNIH ZLOClNACA U
LATINSKOJ AMERICI
Javljaju iz Meksika:
Klaus Altman, koji se godinama u
Boliviji krio pod imenom Klaus
Barbie, izrufien je Francuskoj odlu-ko- m
predsednika Ernana Silesa
Sausa, ali u juznoameridkim zemlja-m- a
joS zivi, relativno bezbrizno i
sigurno, blizu 4.000 nacisti6kih
ratnih zlocinaca ve6eg i manjeg
kalibra i odgovornosti. Koristedi
mutna posleratna vremena, kao i
izbijanjehladnog rata i rivalstva, Sto
im je u delu zapadnog sveta dalo
novu Sansu, odnosno ротоб dela
katolicnog klera i gostoprimstvo
nekih juznoamerickih rezima, pre-tezn- o
vojnog kova, hiljade hitlerov-ski- h
ratnih zlofiinaca uspele su da se
iz Zapadne Evrope prebace u Juznu
Ameriku, gde ve6ina i sad zivi i
deluje. Posebno, ipak, u zemljama
sa vojnim rezimima, kao Sto su
Paragvaj, Cile i Argentina, gde se
osecaju najsigurnije.
OSUDA JU2NOAFRICKOG
APARTHAJDA
STRASBOURG (UPI) — Evropski
parlament je sa 130 glasova, protiv
96 i sedam uzdrzanih, usvojio
saopdenje o Juznoafri6koj Republi-c- i,
u kome se "bezrezervno osuduje
politika aparthajda i sve povrede
ljudskih prava u svim drzavama
Juzne Afrike".
U tekstu saop6enja takoder se
zahtijeva da "Evropska zajednica
potpuno poStuje embargo protiv
Juzne Afrike s obzirom na poSiljke
oruzja". No u saopdenju se uopce ne
spominju privredne sankcije protiv
rezima u Pretoriji, odnosno opskrba
naftom.
380MOLBIZA
JEDAN POSAO
Norcen Energy Resources Ltd. je
trazila jednu osobu za dostavu
(delivery person), a javilo ih se 380.
Medu moliocima bilo je bivSih
avionskih pilota, inzenjera, poslov-ni- h
ljudi, gradevinara.